I was eager to get Steve's perspective on the industry as a whole and ask him about its uncertain future. Preparing myself for the worst, I was still surprised when his first words to me were, "There's no hope for publishing books."
He explained the basic premise of the publishing business model:
- It's a tiny industry. The whole industry combined (trade, professional, academic, everything) is only worth $50 billion.
- The market is saturated with new products--there were almost 200,000 books published in the US alone last year.
- Each new product generates only $100,000 to $200,000 in its lifetime. New products in other industries are expected to gross over $1,000,000. However, the same preparation, marketing, and distribution costs factor in to creating a new book.
- The barriers to entry have gone to zero. Now, anyone can write, print, market, and distribute their book themself.
Steve's final words to me were, "Do what your heart says. Go where you feel you can make the biggest difference." I asked him if he felt he had made a difference and he smiled and said, "Yes."
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